The confirmation of those long-rumored retirement plans of Rep. Tom Davis from Congress should bring joy to the hearts of local Democrats.
Davis's 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of Fairfax County, has long been trending Democratic demographically. Davis's retirement sets up an interesting match-up in the Democratic primary between former Representative Leslie Byrne--whom Davis defeated after one term--and Fairfax Board of Supervisors chairman Gerry Connolly. Like Connolly, Davis also used the chairmanship of the Fairfax Board to spring to his congressional seat.
A recent poll, conducted by Byrne's people, showed her in the lead, but we have to be suspicious of such polls. From our standpoint, both Byrne and Connolly would make excellent replacements for the moderate Davis.
Democrats should pick-up this GOP seat come November, provided they don't get too divided over the primary.
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