Monday, January 28, 2008

Giuliani's Wasted Chance

Barring a miracle, Rudy Giuliani's odd run for the presidency will be over tomorrow night. We said all along that he was running on a flawed strategy.

Here's a piece from the New York Post analyzing that strategic failure ("Rudy's Last Stand"). We generally agree, although we don't accept the initial premise that perhaps Giuliani had no other choice.

As the analysis makes clear, Rudy could've taken a stand in New Hampshire--while managing expectations such that he didn't have to win (top three was a must). He would've weakened McCain in the process, and would've stayed on the national radar screen.

We'd add that he could've competed in Nevada, rather than ceding the state to Romney, and shot for second there.

Romney's campaign is instructive--he lost both Iowa and New Hampshire, with the punditocracy saying he was dead. But he had a strategy of competing everywhere, and staying relevant, and as a result he is in the thick of it with a decent shot, especially if he can win Florida.

Maybe Florida will surprise us--it has a habit of doing that--but we'd bet good money today that the Rudester's journey will end tomorrow.

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