Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Hillary Upset In The Making?

With 27% of the vote counted in New Hampshire, Hillary leads 40-36. The exit polls also give her an edge of about the same margin.

Good lord, how could almost ALL the polls be wrong!

Later we'll do our winners and losers analysis. Things could be quite topsy!

UPDATE: Here's the exit poll numbers--frustratingly, they don't give you a bottom line number, but you can get pretty close with the gender breakdown.

Among women, who made up 57% of the poll (and presumably of the primary voters where the exit polls were conducted), Hillary beats Obama 47%-34%. Among men, the percentages flip, but men are only 43% of the respondents, so a much smaller group. There, Obama leads Hillary 42%-30%. Based on the exit poll, then, Hillary should win. You can find the whole darn thing on CNN here.

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