Thursday, October 30, 2008

Early Voting Update, October 30

Wow, only five days left to the election.

Despite pundit discussion of a "narrowing" of polls, the fact is that Obama leads in every national poll, and has for several weeks now. He also leads in most battleground states--indeed, he's turned new states into battlegrounds.

Furthermore, between 15-20% of Americans have already voted, and Obama leads among those voters.

We've collected data from polls that include breakdowns of early voters' preferences--about 50 of them so far--in one place HERE.

This morning we've updated our comprehensive early voting compilation with the following: national poll data from an ABC-Wash. Post showing Obama leading 59%-40% among early voters. We've also updated our demographic data on early voters from Georgia, Louisiana and North Carolina. In North Carolina, where early voting already accounts for more than 50% the number of voters who cast ballots in 2004, the demographic data is showing some regression to the mean, i.e., the outsize percentages of Democrats and African-American voters are slowly declining--but are still quite high.

We expect that by day's end there will be some additional data, and we'll do another update then.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The new expansion, wrath of the lich king, is online now. As the leader of WOW power leveling revolution, we still offer manual WOW power leveling service for our customers all over the world.our players are ready to do wow power leveling from 70 to 80 or death night power leveling service from 55 to 70 or 80, we never sell any gold of our customers' and did not sell gold face to face, so there is no chance of suspension or ban. But we could grind WOW gold for you by using your character.Our profession power leveling service is the best too,and the inscription power leveling service is online now.