Bet on it!Ron Paul has once again set a record for online fundraising, hauling in about $6 million in 24 hours on the anniversary of the Boston Tea Party.
This quarter, Dr. Paul has already raised $17 million.
His problem is that he is running in a Republican party that, while it at one time embraced a libertarian agenda, no longer does. (If anything, the GOP is the party that wants to tell the rest of use how to live our lives.)
Polls show that Paul is unlikely to rise above 7-8% in any Republican party nominating process. By the same token, the Paulster has shown a demonstrated ability to raise money and motivate enthusiastic supporters. He might do pretty well among independents.
So we think Paul, who has hedged mightily on whether he would run as an independent, has pretty much already made the decision. If the GOP ends up deadlocked, then all the more reason for him to do so.
So expect to see Ron Paul on your November ballot, probably under the banner of the Libertarian Party.
Will there be others? The longer it takes for the parties to coalesce behind a nominee, and the more bitter the contest, the more likely you will see some others as well, including, we think, the big kahuna--Mayor Bloomberg.
1 comment:
Interesting... I would imagine that the reason Ron Paul is running in the GOP is the utter failure of any meaningful 3rd party successes in the last, what, 100 year? I mean, the most likely influence of a 3rd party run is to ensure the victory of the candidate most opposed to your stances (think Nader in 2000).
I would LOVE for a meaningful 3rd party to rise (by meaningful, I mean somewhere between the two major parties on the political spectrum), but am very pessimistic that this will happen in 2008 or anytime in the near future.
I have some articles on similar topics at stryder7of9.wordpress.com
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