Here's an interesting NATIONAL poll from American Research Group (ARG) on the Republican presidential nomination, showing it has now become a four-way statistical dead heat. This may be a first in modern presidential politics.
The numbers:
Giuliani 21%
Huckabee 21%
McCain 18%
Romney 16%
(Margin of error: =/-4%
What's happened since the last ARG national poll, just a month ago in November, is that Thompson has melted down (from 18% to 6%) and Giuliani and Romney have lost support, while Huckabee and McCain have gained.
If other national polls show a similar trend, then our GOP deadlock scenario looks awfully plausible.
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