Thursday, April 17, 2008

Obama's Gaffe Not Slowing Him Down

It appears that Sen. Barack Obama's gaffe last week with respect to rural voters and their guns and religion hasn't hurt him too much.

Recent Pennsylvania polls continue to show a tightening race with just a few days to go. One poll (Public Policy Polling) yesterday had Obama ahead, albeit by a statistically insignicant margin, while another pollster--Zogby--has the race in a dead heat.


Others, of course, show Hillary Clinton still in the lead, by as much as 10 points, and if we were betting real money we'd still bet on Hillary to take the state. However, her margin of delegates could be pretty small based on an analysis of congressional district in the Keystone State and how they are likely to vote.


Likewise, polls in North Carolina still show Obama with a wide lead, and his standing in Indiana has improved.


On the delegate front, Obama also continues to pad his lead, which is now up to 139--his biggest lead in at least the past five weeks--after a series of superdelegate endorsements this week.


In short, it appears that Obama has weathered the storm, at least for the time being. We'll have a better idea by late next Tuesday night, when the Pa. results are in, but the Obama bandwagon appears to be chugging along just fine.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Is it really a "gaffe" if no one was persuaded one way or the other? Was it a "gaffe" at all?