Friday, June 19, 2009

After Three Polls: Va. Gov. Race Will Be Close

We now have a third Virginia poll and it shows what we expected: a very close race for Governor.

In the Daily Kos poll released yesterday, McDonnell leads Deeds by a statistically insignificant 45%-44% margin. In two previously discussed polls, Deeds was ahead by a small margin. So let's say it's pretty even at this point.

Absent some major gaffe by either candidate, we expect the two will stay within single digits of each other in polls the rest of the way. The Commonwealth is pretty easily divided between Democrats and Republicans, and both candidates have decent appeal to independents.

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