Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Ohio Democratic Primary Tightening Up

It looks like, as expected, the Ohio Democratic primary is tightening up. A new Survey USA poll, released today, shows Obama gaining 8 points since a similar poll by the same firm just a week ago.

Last week, Hillary had a huge lead over Obama, 56-39%. This week it is down to 52-43%, or nine points. This parallels a tightening of the race in Texas as well, with still two weeks to go.

Of course, a Clinton upset in Wisconsin tonight would be quite helpful to her campaign, while a loss will probably lead to further tightening of the March 4 contests.

By the way, looking down the road, the primary/caucus calendar remains busy through March 11, with six contests (Ohio, Texas, Vermont, Rhode Island, Mississippi, and Wyoming) in the stretch from March 4-11. But then it gets very quiet and very slow: Pennsylvania on April 22 (the only April contest--maybe Michigan and Florida should have "do-overs" that month), and then a handful in May (Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia, Kentucky, Guam, and Oregon) and closing out in early June with Montana, South Dakota and Puerto Rico.

Could be a time for a lot of contemplation by Democrats.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

i saw china is building its military force and now is building a submarine. nafta took u.s.a. jobs and now these countries are getting richer and stronger. canada is our ally and nafta can be negotiated there. as for china, we need to get some our jobs back. i believe obama has the right strategy about healthcare. i don't like people's pay being garnished or poor people being fined. obama is a fighter and he wasn't born with a silver spoon. some of these candidates rub elbows with the rich and movie stars. we will be forgotten when they get to the white house. as for being a shrill woman, it doesn't make you a fighter. screaming and yelling will get you nowhere. people get sick of it, and eventually avoid the person. the candidate smearing obama should look into their personal home life instead of attacking others. shame, shame. time to get to business and show voters how the next president will help the poor and middleclass get jobs and straighten out this mess.