Monday, May 12, 2008

McCain v. Obama in Virginia: Statistical Tie; NC in Play, Too?

The latest Rasmussen poll of Virginia voters has John McCain leading Barack Obama by just three percentage points (47%-44%), which is a statistical tie. That's a lot better than a couple months ago, when McCain had an 11 point lead.

It's still way early, but it looks like Virginia will earn it's designation as a battleground state.

Will North Carolina also be a battle ground state? Could be. With a hot gubernatorial race, an increasinly competitive Senate race and the huge expansion of Democratic voter rolls, NC could be in play. Rasmussen reports a three-point lead there for McCain as well.

If McCain and the GOP start having to devote significant resources to previously reliably red states such as NC and Virginia, then this race will be very interesting indeed.

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