Sunday, March 16, 2008

Obama Continues To Gain Delegates and Widen His Lead

While the Mainstream Media plays along with Hillary's contention that the race continues, with Pennsylvania, where she's favored, being the next critical contest, Obama continues to pick up delegates and widen his lead.

Today, he picked up 14 delegates, mostly in Iowa and California.

How is that, you say?

As we noted awhile back, in caucus states the pledged delegates aren't really picked until the state conventions are held, which is usually a couple months after the initial caucuses. As the convention process proceeds, the delegates sometimes shift, depending on whether the candidates get their county and statewide delegates to each successive level of meetings.

In Iowa, Obama picked up delegates that had belonged to Edwards. He stands a good chance of picking up additional delegates here and there as the caucus states proceed to state conventions, and should best Hillary since he won most of those states.

In California, Obama picked up a few delegates as all the remaining votes were tallied up.

If they ever get around to finishing the Texas caucus count, he should get a few more there as well.

So, Obama's lead now is actually larger than it was before the March 4 primaries where Hillary took Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island. According to Realpolitics.com, Obama's lead now stands at 135 (1628 for Obama to 1493 for Hillary).

Hillary will likely win Pennsylvania, but she'll likely lose North Carolina, which has 115 delegates, a couple weeks later, and so the gap will remain.

Granted, it's pretty close, but 135 delegates is impossible for Hillary to make up at this late date. We think she's just stalling for time.

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