Monday, December 18, 2006

A Better Way: Require Dominion Power To Invest In Alternative Energy

Dominion Power, which serves all of Northern Virginia, plans to construct a new 40 mile long high voltage power line, at an estimated cost of $300 million, to prevent possible power blackouts in the region by 2011.

Because the new power line will cut a swath across some of the most scenic land in the region, while skirting Civil War battlefields and nature conservation areas, it is generating a fair amount of controversy. Some of the proposed routes also cross through, or near, new upscale residential communities in the outer exurbs, where wealthy folks in gated communities with nicely landscaped golf courses are horrified that they, of all people, would have to look at the unsightly lines that bring electricity to their mega-mansions.

Not surprisingly, opposition is brewing. For example, the all-Republican Prince William Board of Supervisors, who you'd normally associate with pro-growth, pro-business, and pro-local utility monopoly, has unanimously voted to oppose the new line, not that they have any official say-so in the matter. (If they did have regulatory authority, and had to worry about a potential black-out in their communities, it wouldn't be quite so easy for them to just say no to Dominion.)

We think the debate over the new power line will be useful, as it will finally awaken Northern Virginia residents to a host of energy development issues they need to face in the coming years.

Here's some facts from Dominion: the NoVa region currently consumes 6700 megawatts of electricity, with that number steadily increasing with the region's growth. Only 2900 megawatts of that electricity is generated within the region, so the rest has to be shipped in from somewhere else. Electricity is shipped on high voltage transmission lines. Like NoVa's roads, its transmission lines are congested, so we need more.

Of course, we could build more electrical generating facilities in the region, but you can bet that each of those would also get the NIMBY (not in my back yard) treatment. In any event, building new central generation facilities takes a lot of lead time and is quite expensive.

In the short run, the new hgih voltage line is probably inevitable. In the long run, however, we need a much better solution than importing electricity to NoVa.

Fortunately, there is a better solution, which is to require Dominion to invest in low impact alternative energy, particularly wind and solar, in NoVa to deal with the growth in demand.

The most expensive electricity is that on the margin, i.e., new electricity to power new homes and businesses, and peak electricity to deal with peak demand on hot days with the air conditioners blazing away. That's because building a new power plant--or building new power lines and paying to import electricity from somewhere else--costs a lot more than simply fueling and running existing plants.

An alternative to building expensive new central generation plants is to invest in distributed energy--smaller sources of electricity that are distributed throughout the region and plugged into the grid. Solar energy from photovoltaic cells, wind energy from wind turbines, bio-diesel generators, and other small energy sources easily fit the distributed energy model.

In theory, anyone can invest in alternative distributed energy systems, plug them into the grid and reduce their own electric consumption, saving money. However, for most homeowners and businesses, it is not economical to do so. (See our discussion of the Curmudgeon's own experience with installing a solar electric array: http://xcurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2006/11/solar-energy-good-feel-bad-deal.html).

But for Dominion, it IS economical. Here's why:

A homeowner or businessperson gets charged the average cost of all the electricity Dominion produces, which is well below the marginal cost of a new kilowatt of electricity, or a kilowatt of peak electricity. If that homeowner/businessperson pays to install, for example, a solar electric system (as the Curmudgeon did recently), he will have to pay for it, upfront, at the cost of installing marginal or peak electricity. Under that model, it will be a long time before Joe Q homeowner is going to find it economical to invest in his own generation of electricity.

But what if Dominion were to make that investment instead? What Dominion could do is seek out the homes, businesses and properties that are most suited for alternative energy generation and offer to install and maintain it, while giving the property owner an incentive (reduced electricity rate) for agreeing. Under this arrangement, all ratepayers would share the costs and benefits of the new installations, which would be economical, because they would be in lieu of the massive costs of new central generating plants and power lines.

Here's an example of how it could work. My neighbor down the street has a perfect roof for solar electric cells. It faces south, is unobstructed by trees and has a nice pitch to it. Dominion could approach my neighbor and offer to install solar panels on his roof, which Dominion would own and maintain. Dominion could offer my neighbor a discount on his electricity in exchange for agreeing to let his roof become an electrical generator.

In this way, Dominion would have an incentive to go out and find the most ideal properties for installation of solar, wind or other technologies. At the same time, Dominion could develop economies of scale that individuals lack, thereby further reducing costs.

Our rough back of the envelope calculation is that Dominion could install 400MW of new capacity in NoVa for the $300 million it will spend on the new high voltage line. Dominion could also begin investing in renewable energy some of the billions of dollars it will need in new generating capacity over the coming decade, thereby transforming NoVa into an energy leader.

The sooner we get started, the better.

1 comment:

Hydra said...

You have the right idea, but the wrong direction. This is a case where we really need to work backwards before we can go forward.

The reason this is the most economical method for Dominion Power is because of the ancient and muddled system we have for taking property through Eminent Domain.

In a true eminent Domain case where the acquired property will be used by the state, as for a roadway, it is in no one's interest to have the state more than the minimum amount that somewhere near approaces a fair value.

Where eminent domain is used purely for profit, the situation is a lot different, but the rules are the same.

In this case, Dominion will acquire property through eminent domain rules that allow them to offer truly minum prices compared to the eventual profit they will earn. Under these rules Dominion will pay nothing for damage to property values of properies adjacent to where they pass, nothing for scenic damage, and nothing for the fear of EMF. (I don't believethere is good evidence for EMF damage, but I believe there is good evidence of fear of EMF damage, and that is enough to cause loss of property value.

Much of the land taken will be farmland, and the rules are that Dominion must pay the difference in value before and after the power line. Farmland has such little value that the difference is nearly nothing, on that basis, especially if you can still graze or crop under the wires.

The fact remains, that the real losses in property values assessed by the market will dwarf the $300 million Dominion intends to invest. This is the cheapest option for them because, under the law they are allowed to steal the assets they need for their business. It is absolutely no different from taking money out of tha landowners bank accounts to build the poer line.

However, if they took cash from the owners to build the line, the owners would expect to be shareholders, AND SHARE IN THE PROFITS.

When an easement owner acquires a new tenant, this is exactly what happens. In Maryland, the state got 7.5 percent of the gross revenue from a fiber optic company that used the state's right of way.

If Dominion had to pay anything like that, then they would very soon be examining the kind of options for other energy sources you describe.

Several years ago a state commission recommended that jury trials be used for eminent domain cases, among many other changes. None of them have yet been enacted.

If Dominion takes over a strip of farmland, and if the area is later developed then the difference in value with and without the power line becomes much, but Dominion only pays once, and makes profits forever. On the other hand, if Dominion had to pay something like rent to the farmers instead, then the income could actually help them stay in business.

It isn't very different from the concept of having Dominion offer a discount for enrgy based on roof space, only in this case it is easement space.

But, until we change the eminent domain rules, stealing is going to continue to be the cheapest way to produce and deliver electricity.

Write your legislators now, Your home could be next.