It was a busy day for the Curmudgeon, so we'll just make a couple quick points.
First, we updated our comprehensive guide to early voting--see here. No new state surveys revealing early voting preferences. We did update demographic data for Florida, Georgia and NC--very strong turnout for early voting in all three. Data still favors Obama.
Gallup did a national poll that included early voters and found that Obama had a slight lead among the nine percent of voters who said they'd already voted.
Second, in the RealClearPolitics moving average of all presidential polls, Obama closed today with a lead of 7.9 points over McCain, which is his highest yet in the RCP average. Since October 13, Obama has not been below 5 points in this running cumulative average of the various polls.
Need we say that with 11 days to go, that's quite a huge margin?
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